I was talking to a scout for the Toronto Blue Jays the other day and I mentioned that the Orioles are on top of the division right now. His response was very stern. “It won’t stay that way.” This isn’t April, mind you. Or May. We are half way through June and the All star break is almost upon us.
I don’t claim to know much about baseball. I see that my Rangers are on top of their Division as well and that’s about all that I know. I couldn’t care less on who the 5th pitcher in the rotation of my team is - much less someone else’s. For all these reasons and many more, my future is not in baseball. I could have told you that years ago.
But I was curious. How can one say, so confidently that the Orioles will not win their division this year. Is past behavior not a decent predictor of future performance? So I inquired with a simple, “Why is that?” – hoping that he could fill me in on the inside baseball. Literally.
He took a sip of his beer and looked back at me just long enough to say, “They just aren’t that good.”
I was unsatisfied and I am sure that he could sense it. Because isn’t the number of wins you currently have a determinant of how “good” you are? No, I take that back. It is THE detriment of how “good” you are. It is the end all and be all of sports – to win; and the Orioles are sitting pretty in first place. I have to say, that means they are “good” – even if they don’t have the star power of the Yankees or Red Sox. The NY Giants are still wearing last year’s Super Bowl rings even though the critics never said they were any good.
Again. quick follow-up question. “Why aren’t they any good?” Quick response, “They just aren’t.”
I could see that this conversation was going no where.